Country

Fiji

Explore historical and projected climate data, climate data by sector, impacts, key vulnerabilities and what adaptation measures are being taken. Explore the overview for a general context of how climate change is affecting Fiji.

Climate Data Projections

The climate science community sources a suite of global climate models to help decision makers understand the projections of future climate change and related impacts, among the most widely used are the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 5 (CMIP5) models included in the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). Climate projections can be presented via individual models or through multi-model ensembles. The Climate Change Knowledge Portal (CCKP) supports the analysis of climate impacts using multi-model ensembles, as they represent the range and distribution of the most plausible projected outcomes when representing expected changes.

Temperature

  • Projected temperature rises in Fiji are significantly lower than the global average, with a 2.6°C average rise projected for the end of the century under the highest emissions pathway (RCP8.5).
  • Increases in the annual maximum and minimum temperatures are slightly higher, but still significantly below the global estimates.
  • Strongest temperature increases are projected over January to April (the wet season), and the weakest between June and November.

Precipitation

  • No statistically significant changes are projected by the models for future precipitation, this applies to both long-term changes and extreme events. 
  • Future precipitation changes will depend to some extent on potential changes to the El Niño climate system.

This section provides the options to visualize climate variables and indices derived from scientifically vetted CMIP5 projections for different timeframes, statistics, emission scenarios, and climate models.

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Use the menu above to visualize different climate projection layers and chart data. Click on the map to get location specific data.

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