Explore historical and projected climate data, climate data by sector, impacts, key vulnerabilities and what adaptation measures are being taken. Explore the overview for a general context of how climate change is affecting Angola.

Climate Data Projections

The climate science community sources a suite of global climate models to help decision makers understand the projections of future climate change and related impacts, among the most widely used are the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 5 (CMIP5) models included in the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). Key projected climate trends include:


  • Mean annual temperature is projected to increase between 1.2 and 3.2°C by 2060, and 1.7 and 5.1°C by 2090, and warming is projected to occur more rapidly in the interior and eastern parts of Angola.

  • Mean land surface temperatures are likely to surpass the increase in global mean land surface temperature in all seasons over southern Africa, and the projected warming of between 3.4-4.2°C over this region exceeds natural climate variability.


  • Projected changes in mean annual rainfall over Angola project a wide range in changes, with changes in precipitation ranging from -27 to +20% by the 2090's. Median values range from -1 to -6% by the 2090's.  Rainfall is projected to decrease predominantly in September-November (-43 to +26%) and in June-August (-65 to +42%).

  • Mean annual precipitation projections from the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) indicate little or no change in precipitation under the RCP2.6 emissions scenario for middle and late 21st century over Angola. Projections for RCP8.5 indicate little or no change by mid-21st century, while for late 21st century projections indicate divergent changes over the country.

  • Projections point toward drier winters over large regions of southern Africa by the end of the 21st century, and decreases in rainfall are projected for southern hemisphere spring months.

This section allows the visualization of  climate variables and indices derived from scientifically vetted CMIP5 projections for different timeframes, statistics, emission scenarios, and climate models. 

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Use the menu above to visualize different climate projection layers and chart data. Click on the map to get location specific data.