The climate science community sources a suite of global climate models to help decision makers understand the projections of future climate change and related impacts, among the most widely used are the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 5 (CMIP5) models included in the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). Key projected climate trends are summarized below:
- Mean annual temperature is projected to increase by 0.4-0.7°C by 2020 and 0.8-1.4°C by 2050.
- Mean annual temperatures are set to increase by of 2.8°C to 3.5°C across Myanmar with the highest increases in the Rakhine Coastal and Yangon Deltaic regions (3.5°C) by 2100.
- Climate change predictions for annual rainfall in 2100 indicate increases in annual average of ~228 mm per annum relative to the baseline modelled annual average rainfall.
- Increase in precipitation is projected in the Rakhine Coastal region (~1582 mm per annum) and smallest increases in the Eastern Hilly region (~209 mm per annum) for 2100.
- Myanmar is projected to have an increase in rainfall by 2050.
This section provides the options to visualize climate variables and indices derived from scientifically vetted CMIP5 projections for different timeframes, statistics, emission scenarios, and climate models.