Country

Congo (Democratic Republic of the)

Explore historical and projected climate data, climate data by sector, impacts, key vulnerabilities and what adaptation measures are being taken. Explore the overview for a general context of how climate change is affecting Congo (Democratic Republic of the).

Climate ProjectionsMean Projections

This page presents Congo (Democratic Republic of the)’s projected climate. Information is shown by climatologies, as either projected mean or anomaly (change). We offer a range of variables at both national and sub-national aggregations. Data is presented spatially, as a seasonal cycle, time series, or heatplot, which shows seasonal change over long-term time horizons. Data can be analyzed as both annual and seasonal; monthly data is available in the Data Download page. You can further tailor your analysis by selecting different projected climatologies and emission scenarios, or Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs). Projection data on this page is presented as multi-model ensembles, which represent the range and distribution of the most plausible projected outcomes of change in the climate system. It is important to note that RCPs are “what if scenarios” and provide insight into future climates based on defined emissions and mitigation efforts. Data for specific coordinates can be downloaded in the Data Download page.  

Climate projection data is modeled data from the global climate model compilations of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Projects (CMIPs), overseen by the World Climate Research Program. The data currently presented is derived from the fifth phase of the CMIPs, CMIP5. The CMIPs form the data foundation of the IPCC Assessment Reports. CMIP5 is used for the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report and CMIP6 will be used for the IPCC's Sixth Assessment Report. Projection data is presented at a 1.0º x 1.0º (100km x 100km) resolution.

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Use the menu above to visualize different climate projection layers and chart data. Click on the map to get location specific data.


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Climate Data Projections

The climate science community sources a suite of global climate models to help decision makers understand the projections of future climate change and related impacts, among the most widely used are the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 5 (CMIP5) models included in the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). Climate projections can be presented via individual models or through multi-model ensembles. The Climate Change Knowledge Portal (CCKP) supports the analysis of climate impacts using multi-model ensembles, as they represent the range and distribution of the most plausible projected outcomes when representing expected changes.

Temperature

  • Model projections indicate that mean annual temperature increase may range between 1.72°C and 2.08°C by the 2060's, and between 2.69 and 3.22°C by the 2090's. 
  • Projected rates of warming are greatest in the coolest season; June-August temperature is projected to increase by 1.5 to 5.4°C by the 2090's. 
  • All projections indicate an increase in consecutive dry days by 4 days in the southeast, and by 1 day in the central parts of the country by 2030-2049.
  • The heat wave index is projected to increase throughout the country with a 1 day increase projected in the northeast, 2 days in the central part, and the maximum projected for the southeast parts of the country by 4 days.

Precipitation

  • Projections of rainfall are broadly consistent in indicating increases in mean annual rainfall. The ensemble range spans changes of ‐4 to +8% by 2030's.
  • Projected increases in rainfall in the central parts of the country indicate maximum increases of up to 8% during June-August and a reduction by 4% during September-November. 
  • The highest increase in precipitation is projected for the northeast, with up to 16% increase during March-May and 6% during December-February while a 3% decreased is projected for June-August.
  • The increases range from 0 to 16% in annual average rainfall by the 2090's and affect the whole country throughout the year. Rainfall amounts are projected to increase by 0.3 to 1.5% by 2050.

This section provides the options to visualize climate variables and indices derived from scientifically vetted CMIP5 projections for different timeframes, statistics, emission scenarios, and climate models.

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Use the menu above to visualize different climate projection layers and chart data. Click on the map to get location specific data.


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